Dave Winer wants us to ignore the rapid adoption of apps — primarily driven by the genius generation of smart phones now on the market — because he says they ‘are not the future’. This reminds me of the Chico Marx line, ‘Who are you going to believe? Me, or your own eyes?’
Leaving aside the…
"Apps" are a stopgap solution to a long term problem. "Apps" are as much the future as they are the past. That is to say that apps are applications. Apps are programs. When I get a new desktop I install several kinds of programs (A browser, a media player, a text editor, a word processor, some games, etc.) When I get a new smartphone I do the same thing.
Apps aren’t the future, they are the now. The future has the idea of an application abstracted away into it’s most pure form. The future is computing hardware so ubiquitous that it is unrecognizable. The future is software that no one notices, software that sits in the background and gets things done without getting in our way.
If the “app” infrastructure can do that, then I’ll eat my damn hat. So long as consumers ha e to think about software, software isn’t working.